when will yellowstone erupt

1 hour ago 8
Nature

The Yellowstone supervolcano is not expected to erupt anytime soon. Experts estimate that the next eruption will likely happen hundreds of thousands of years from now. Research shows that the magma beneath Yellowstone is divided into four separate reservoirs, with only a portion in the northeast of the caldera likely to stay liquid and potentially eruptable in the long term. The majority of the magma is currently in a state where it cannot connect and become eruptable. Moreover, the scientific consensus, including that from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), indicates that Yellowstone is not overdue for an eruption, as volcanoes do not operate on predictable schedules. The odds of a super-eruption like those that occurred 2.8 million, 1.3 million, and 640,000 years ago happening in any given year are extremely low. Current volcanic and seismic activity remain at background levels, and there are no signs of catastrophic volcanic activity imminent at Yellowstone. In short, there is no evidence to suggest that Yellowstone will erupt in the near future or within our lifetime. Any such event is expected to occur on geological timescales, likely hundreds of thousands to millions of years from now.