who will win 2024 election

The 2024 U.S. presidential election predictions are highly competitive and uncertain, with leading forecast models showing nearly even chances for both main candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Some models and experts project a narrow Trump victory in electoral votes, while others give Harris a slight edge or call the race a near 50-50 toss-up. For example, one model predicts Trump winning 268 electoral votes to Harris's 259, but including some excluded states would tip the balance to Harris with 270 votes. Another respected forecast indicates Harris wins about 50.015% of simulations versus Trump's 49.985%, essentially an even split. Key swing states will be decisive, and the outcome could hinge on very narrow margins in these battlegrounds. Thus, no definitive winner can be stated with certainty ahead of the vote, as polling, demographics, and unforeseen events will continue to shift dynamics up to election day.