The U.S. federal government shutdown began on October 1, 2025, and as of October 10, 2025, it has lasted 10 days. There is no clear resolution in sight, and the shutdown is expected to last at least until the next Senate session convenes on Tuesday, October 14, 2025, extending the shutdown beyond two weeks. The Senate has repeatedly failed to pass competing funding bills, and the House remains on break. Betting odds and reports suggest a high likelihood the shutdown could continue past October 15, with over 75% confidence it could last until the end of October or even later into November. The deadlock is primarily due to disagreements between President Trump and congressional Republicans and Democrats over healthcare subsidies and federal spending levels. Thus, the shutdown may continue for several more weeks without a political breakthrough soon.
