The Lions are not eliminated yet, but they are currently outside the playoff spots and need help to get in. Their odds dropped significantly after the recent loss, but there is still a mathematical path if they win out and other results go their way.
Current status
Several outlets list the Lions at 8–6 and sitting in the No. 8 spot in the NFC, meaning they are just below the final wild-card seed and therefore not “in” the playoffs right now. The same coverage notes that they are “on the outside looking in” but explicitly not ruled out for postseason contention.
Playoff odds and scenarios
Recent analyses put Detroit’s playoff probability in roughly the mid‑20% to low‑40% range after the loss to the Rams, reflecting the fact that they need both wins and outside help. Multiple scenario breakdowns say that if the Lions win their final three games, their chances shoot up dramatically (into the 90% range in at least one simulation), but dropping even one more game likely knocks them out.
